Shoutout to Harley Earl for this one, as he requested a Jake Burger piece. I’m a person of the peeps.
Though I’m a Fatburger man, I do respect In-N-Out. The fries are horrible however the burgers are recent and style good. Many benefit from the Animal Fashion concoction, which accommodates mustard, additional Thousand Island particular sauce, pickles, and grilled onions. I hate most sauces, so Animal Fashion shouldn’t be my factor. Most sauces style disgusting to me and make issues messy. I’m a simpleton so I like issues clear, particularly with regards to analyzing baseball gamers. Digging into Burger, although, was a troublesome endeavor. It was messy, undoubtedly not clear, and at the same time as I’m scripting this intro, I don’t know which approach I lean. Possibly typing issues out will assist.
Let’s dig in.
Burger is 27 years previous, 6-foot-2, 230 kilos, and bats from the correct facet. He was one of many prime prospects heading into the 2017 MLB draft and was chosen with the eleventh general decide by the Chicago White Sox.
Throughout his first yr within the minors, the stroll price was within the 6% vary whereas the strikeout price was within the low teenagers over 200 plate appearances. The ISO was solely .138. Sadly, he missed the subsequent three seasons attributable to an Achilles harm, a bruised heel, and COVID.
Upon returning to motion in 2021, he performed in Triple-A and slashed .274/.332/.513. The stroll price was 7.1% however the strikeout price spiked to 26.8%. The ISO went up as properly, although, to a good .239. He ended with 18 dwelling runs in 340 plate appearances.
The next season, he accrued 168 plate appearances in Triple-A and 183 plate appearances in MLB. The stroll price was 10.7% in Triple-A with a 20.2% strikeout price and .130 ISO. Within the majors, the stroll price was 5.5%, strikeout price was 30.6% and ISO was .208. Discuss a variety of outcomes!
In 145 plate appearances this season, the stroll price is 5.5%, strikeout price is 30.3% and ISO is .341. He’s smashed 12 dwelling runs and has been the toast of the city.
Wanting on the Statcast numbers, the EV is 92.3 mph whereas the maxEV is 118.2. If he certified, that may put him within the prime 25 for EV and second-best in maxEV! The barrel price of twenty-two.2% would place him second as properly. MLBPipeline.com gave Burger a 55 energy grade and described him as “one of many prime energy sources out there in a draft class quick on faculty hitters.” The ability is actual.
The batted ball information present some attention-grabbing issues. For many of his profession, he had a GB% within the 40% vary. This season it’s at 32.2%. The FB% is at a career-high 45.6% after being within the 30% vary. He’s additionally pulling the ball 52.2% of the time after being within the mid-to-high 40% vary.
Now we get to my favourite half, which is the plate self-discipline. Burger is chasing 44.3% of the time. Gross. That will place him within the prime 10 amongst all MLB hitters. The contact price within the zone is 77.7% whereas the general contact price is 66.9%. The swinging strike price is eighteen.4%. There are solely two different gamers with a SwStr% of a minimum of 18% – Nick Castellanos and Teoscar Hernandez. Yuck. I presently have the identical sensation as once I eat mustard.
Up to now, I might just about dismiss a participant with this profile, and I felt assured fading Christopher Morel, even though each he and Burger have comparable profiles. There are simply extra divergent information factors for Burger to offer me pause.
The principle one was the 2 seasons within the minors by which he posted a strikeout price of 20% or beneath. He did it, so it’s within the vary of outcomes and it’s doable that he can enhance and get to that higher band. Whereas Burger is 27 years previous, he missed three seasons, so he’s nonetheless comparatively younger from an expertise standpoint.
Assistant hitting coach Chris Johnson stated that Burger is “evolving as a participant. He is aware of his strengths. We name it tunneling, he’s attempting to work on his tunneling. Actually specializing in one facet of the plate of the opposite, or wherever he’s attacking that sure day. We’ll plug that into the iPtich and he’ll simply assault there and work off of that line, in hopes that he takes these pitches, within the hopes that he stays proper in that sizzling zone.”
Then this article by Malachi Hayes was nice in breaking down at-bats by which Burger adjusts throughout a recreation.
Over the primary month of the season, Burger has a 41.9% chase price and 13.9% swinging strike price. Since Might, the chase price has elevated to 47.2% whereas the swinging strike price has spiked to 23.5%! I at all times say that pitchers will modify, so hitters might want to modify to the changes. With Burger’s profile, there shall be lean occasions because of the swing and miss in his recreation. The ability is actual, although, and he has exhibited the capability to make changes and attempt to hone his craft off the sphere. I preserve going again to these seasons when he confirmed glorious plate self-discipline within the minors.
I don’t assume he’ll ever get to a 20% strikeout price, however someplace within the mid-20% vary appears viable. We all know the ability is actual. There may be danger that he turns into a platoon bat, as Gavin Sheets was utilized at DH forward of Burger the previous couple of video games. So long as he will get the plate appearances, I truly really feel extra assured with Burger’s trajectory than others with an analogous profile. God assist me.